Sunday, January 1, 2023

Thoughts on The Witcher, Blood Origin, Warhammer 40k, Rings of Power, Willow, and Dragon Age Absolution


In an apparent effort to save interest in Netflix's The Witcher (and its spinoff), the show seemingly leaked information (cf, via the podcast Deux U) to attack Henry Cavill directly. At the time it came out I mentioned that I thought it was poorly conceived damage control that grossly underestimated the good will Cavill has bought over his career. The tactics themselves are by-the-book for how entertainment corporations handle or anticipate criticism (the fan baiting approach I covered back in September). This effort failed so badly (gaining no traction) that the leaker apologized (eg) and deleted their Twitter account and the accusations never surfaced in the trades (although places like Jezebel and click-chasers like The Quartering reported them). It's heartening to see such a quick obliteration of this nonsense, and I hope its a sign we're beginning to turn the corner on the insanity that's consumed the entertainment industry the last six to seven years. But more about Blood Origin below.


Speaking of Cavill, he's now an executive producer for a Warhammer 40k series on Amazon. Thankfully, Amazon is simply the broadcaster and not involved with creative decisions, so there's a chance the IP will be (if nothing else) faithful to the lore. I'm not that familiar with Warhammer, but I know the book series' is quite popular. Fans don't always succeed when given a project like this, but Cavill isn't just an enthusiast so there's a reasonable chance it will do well. What's less clear to me how Jennifer Salke decides what is 'toxic masculinity' and what is not--Conan, as we know, was too toxic for her, and Tolkien's legendarium too masculine, but one wonders if what Salke means is purely down to numbers (white men vs female/diverse characters). I assume Warhammer is diverse, but otherwise on the surface it's not something I would have guessed Salke would approve of.


We've heard enough from those involved with Rings of Power season two that nothing meaningful will change besides superficial elements like more action (and minor aesthetics). This dooms the show to another poorly received season and I really wonder if Amazon will actually swallow the cost to produce the promised third season. I think it's unlikely, but given Bezos' deep pockets and ego, it's not impossible (the unwatchable Star Trek: Discovery has managed to crawl along for five seasons despite abysmal viewership, after all).



One thing I've seen no one consider is why the critical reception of these two shows has been so different. Both have been eviscerated by the audience (RT scores of 12% and 34%), but why was Willow given a pass (85%) and Blood Origin (correctly) criticized (35%)? I think it's down to corporate influence. Disney (Willow) desperately needs a streaming 'win', so ensured they got the usual thumbs-up from critics. Netflix, on the other hand, was already pulling away from Blood Origin (cutting its episode count from six to four), so wasn't investing in a critical pass. I've mentioned ad nauseum that critical praise is meaningless in terms of success, so both shows will be one-and-done, but executives haven't figured this out. Blood Origin's abysmal showing should mean The Witcher season three will mercifully end the Netflix experience. What I'd like is someone to adapt CDPR's iteration of the IP (ala Edgerunners, albeit it needn't be animated).




You'd be forgiven if you had no idea Dragon Age: Absolution had appeared appeared on Netflix (December 9th). The animated show, DA's first venture into animation since early 2012's Dawn of the Seeker, is meant to help lead in to Dragon Age 4 (presumed out in 2024), but has arrived DOA. No one is talking about it, so no one is watching it (a far more muted response than Vox Machina and nowhere near monster performers like Edgerunners). What it means to BioWare is they can't hope fans have watched it, making it as irrelevant as the book and comic tie-ins have to be (& ergo, failing in its purpose to hype the upcoming game). Reviews suggest BioWare's writing remains stuck in the 'made for modern audiences' phase that every other flop from the last few years has copied. It makes me fear the game will receive a similar indifferent reception and possibly even flop Andromeda-style. It's worth noting that Willow (included above) also has had no resonance at all (as is clear in the graph).

Note on Future Articles

While I'm fond of the news digest format I've been doing since 2017, I'm going to switch to topic-based posts. This will mean articles will be more frequent (if, generally, shorter). I'm sure at points it will be worthwhile to post a digest, but for readers I think it makes coming regularly more rewarding and it's simpler to know if the topic at hand is of interest. [Later: this intention didn't quite pan out, although longer single topic articles are in process.]

This article was written by Peter Levi

Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Fantasy and Science Fiction TV/Movie Thoughts

Genre Entertainment fails continue and the 'why' remains unchanged. The positive of this is maybe, maybe, we'll start getting better written material in the next few years. Let's get to it.


Wakanda Forever apparently had a one-to-one marketing cost (ergo, the film has a base cost of 500 million), but despite the massive marketing has punched well below Disney's expectations. It sits at 769 at the box office and is expected to limp to 800. This tally is a pale shadow of the original and it's not clear if that's even enough for it to break even. This is yet another failure for Disney on top of the ignored Strange Worlds. I've heard it said that the MCU is all-in on Guardians of the Galaxy 3, but even if that film achieves success it can't right the ship (just as Spider-Man 3 did not). As for why the film failed, the key element remains the same: the writing.


Switching to DC, we've mercifully been saved from Patty Jenkins' Wonder Woman 3. Apparently Jenkins quit when asked to make changes to her script, although it's likely she would have been let go regardless (she's supposedly been removed from her Star Wars film Rogue Squadron as well as Gal Gadot's Cleopatra). The film is cancelled and if I were James Gunn I'd jettison Gadot and start fresh (Gadot can't act and at 37 is aging out of the role). This kind of clean sweep is desperately needed at Marvel, but there's no chance of rescue until (maybe) Phase Six, at which point the MCU itself might get a reboot.


I talked about Willow back in July where I opined "[what I've heard] leads me to believe this will be another unwatchable disaster." That prediction has been spot on thus far, as (according to Samba) it's the least watched show on Disney+ to date. I doubt it's actually qualitatively worse than Rings of Power, Wheel of Time, or The Witcher, but that its ratings reflects: 1) audience exhaustion with fantasy 'changed for modern audiences', 2) the limited reach of the IP. As I said months ago, this doesn't hurt the original film any, but it's an unfortunate ending for an IP we'll only see again if it's rebooted.


I discussed Blood Origin last time, a show that makes the same mistake as Willow and the other recent fantasy adaptations. It looks generic and boring (so much so that even Polygon (!) trashed it). What I didn't mention then, because I'd forgotten about it, is that the show was originally meant to be six episodes, but either good fortune or someone with a brain at Netflix cut it back to four. I think this show would have bombed with or without Henry Cavill's decision to leave The Witcher, but given his departure and Beau DeMayo throwing the writers room under the bus, it's going to face Willow-like oblivion. Anecdotally, the normies I know who have enjoy The Witcher were pissed to hear Cavill was leaving and expressed no desire to continue watching the show without him.


The unfolding aftermath of the disaster that was Rings of Power continues (its second season is in production in the UK as we speak). None of this can be found in the very carefully curated Wikipedia page, but here are some key developments:
  • Joseph Mawle, one of the biggest 'names' in the cast, left the show (replaced by Sam Hazeldine); clearly Mawle saw which way the wind was blowing
  • Seemingly neither the insufferable Ismael Cruz Cordova or Nazanin Boniadi will return, as their superfluous characters have been dropped for the season two storyline (making their inclusion utterly pointless)--if true this presumably also means losing their presumed love child (Tyroe Muhafidin)
  • Lenny Henry's character died in the first season, but I suspect his homicidal Hobbit clan will continue to annoy and bore viewers despite that addition by subtraction
  • The showrunners talked about the season being more in line with the Tolkien canon, but this is a by-rote approach (Lauren Hissrich said the same about The Witcher season two, which proved even less canonical than season one); the announced new cast members follow the same schizophrenic decisions as the first
The script and casting were locked prior to the reception of the first season and while some changes can be made on the fly, I don't see how Amazon can do anything other than fix some of the aesthetics. The only true 'save' is to scrap the existing elements and start fresh (complete reboot), but I don't think Amazon has the balls to make that decision.


Epic fantasy is interesting because it presents a distinctive reality that doesn't adhere to our own (unlike science fiction or urban fantasy). Modern adaptors have thrown this away by making their fantasy echo their version of 'real/modern world'. This strips away the key conceit of what makes fantasy work. Whether anyone in TV, film, or video games is going to figure this out any time soon is hard to say.

We can also add the familiar chestnut that sticking to the lore is always a win, as seen with Edgerunners: an original story that carefully follows the lore of Cyberpunk 2077.

This article was written by Peter Levi

Wednesday, November 23, 2022

MCU, DCEU, and Fantasy Entertainment News & Commentary


As expected, neither Black Adam or Wakanda Forever will be released in China. This is by-rote for the MCU at this stage and becoming so for the DCEU--if you aren't going to make your films specifically for the PRC, you aren't getting access to its markets. I don't think Wakanda Forever would have performed particularly well in China regardless, but it could have boosted Black Adam towards breaking even. This, along with losing the much smaller Russian market (due to the war in Ukraine), and some Middle Eastern markets unless LGBTQ content is edited out, means films like this must hit their box office targets elsewhere.

Speaking of the box office for both projects, Black Adam is going to lose money for WB--this is not a big surprise, since its test screenings scored even worse than the cancelled Batgirl. Predictions that Wakanda Forever would bomb also seem true, although it could break even financially (it's only hit 552 through its first two weekends).


It's difficult to fully express the hilarity of Bob Iger returning to Disney to fix Bob Chapek's mess. As most of you know, all the current projects were made under Bob Iger's watch. Whether Chapek was ever going to fix it is an open question, but there was no possibility of him making it worse. Chapek's efforts have never been felt by Marvel, so all Iger can do is reverse his changes to Star Wars and permanently kill the brand (maybe we will get a film from Harvey Weinstein's complicit assistant--yay?). What will Iger do? I have no idea, but it does mean we have to question Kamran Pasha's long contention that Chapek was playing 4D chess and is a Machiavellian mastermind. I have a feeling that, in time (if not already), Pasha will claim it was Susan Arnold who was the master and Chapek just a puppet.


Feige acolyte Nate Moore stated the obvious that the MCU deliberately seeks out creatives who are not familiar with the source material (thus the hilarious behind-the-scenes special for She-Hulk where one of the producers had no idea Daredevil was blind). Moore's cluelessness is not new, but having him admit it publicly is a delightful self-own. These efforts would have occurred after Ike Perlmutter and the Marvel story group was pushed out part way through Phase Three (after Doctor Strange). The wretched state of MCU projects from non-fans has made no impact on Moore, Victoria Alonso, or Feige, whose egos are too large to accept failure. With Iger back in the saddle they are likely safe for a few more years--enough time to completely run the brand into the ground.


The audience the MCU has been chasing hardest with Phase Four is Gen-Z (1995-2015). A huge part of their female-centric/diversity focused brand is targeted at them, but at least through 2021 we know this has completely failed. Halfway through Phase Four only 9% of the audience is into Marvel, a brand that leans heavily on Millennials (which fits my anecdotal experience).


I thought Blood Origin was DOA when it was announced--anything coming from the creative mind of Lauren Hissrich had no chance of succeeding (ahem, Jessica Jones season two). The show's trailer came out about a week ago and understandably got ratioed, looking like a bad Rings of Power ripoff. God love Michelle Yeoh, but she's 60-years old and the market for geriatric sword swingers is non-existent (nor does she have pull as an actor when you look at her films). Naturally nothing from the show resembles the source material (Polish/Slavic culture is irrelevant to the entertainment industry). My hope is it bombs horrendously to speed up the removal of the IP from Netflix's incompetent clutches, although I expect it to review well and Netflix to find a way to trumpet its initial numbers.


One of the reasons I have to look at alternative news sources is because official channels are unreliable (they owe their access to the corporations making these products). A good example of this comes from Indiana Jones 5, a film that has had a long and troubled production history, anchored by the laughable Indiana Jones 4. I like the first two films from the IP, but I'm not a hardcore fan, so I have only passively paid attention to news about it. What brings it to mind is director James Mangold humiliating himself by going full She-Hulk in attacking someone he hates online (oddly, the same one targeted by Jessica Gao, namely YTer Doomcock). In this case Mangold wound up with egg all over his face because he got caught in a lie. The point of this isn't Mangold or a Youtuber, but simply that fan channels do get scoops sometimes and those are often uncomfortable truths about an upcoming project (The Last of Us Part 2 is one of the many examples, where playtesters leaked how awful it was). As for the film itself, I never expected it to do well--the fourth film occurred in a different era and is terrible and the third film, even older, has plenty of issues. Much like The Terminator or Alien, some projects don't need more than one sequel (if that).


Shortly after Twitter fired close to 4,000 people (prompting legal inquiries), Facebook let go 12,000, Disney is planning its own layoffs (Iger may prevent that--we shall see), and Amazon is cutting 10,000 jobs. All of this comes during the current recession, but other than Amazon the reason for these layoffs is quite different (FB's bungling of the Metaverse is at the core of its struggles; Disney because of Iger's unending stupidity; Musk simply cut anyone who either opposed him or didn't serve a direct functional purpose--close to 90% of employees apparently, with no noticeable effect on the platform).


I'd be remise if I didn't mention Twitter's apparent death...or not. It's not long ago I had people telling me it was doomed--everyone was leaving--and instead usage is up and CBS embarrassed itself by leaving and returning in record time. Whatever you think of the platform or its current boss, it's still the only central place for news. Places like Instagram and Tiktok aren't set-up to fulfill that function, FB failed at it years ago, Mastodon doesn't want peasants polluting its safe space (RIP Will Wheaton, cf), and so on. This is a lesson Trump learned when he was booted and created his own version of the platform--it's just another Mastodon with a different political leaning.

I have a bunch of video game news I want to get into (Witcher 4, Dragon Age 4, Mass Effect 4--if it has a 4 in the title we're good apparently), but I'll save that until next time.

This article was written by Peter Levi

Tuesday, November 8, 2022

Fantasy and Science Fiction TV/Movie News/Commentary


I made a comment last time that Henry Cavill returning as Superman likely meant an end to his time with The Witcher. I made that statement not because it's impossible for Cavill to do both, but because I believed he would want out of The Witcher after its disastrous second season (the first isn't great either, but there was hope it could improve)--we now know it was a struggle just to get him back for the third season (cf). My prediction that he'd leave proved correct and it's clear Cavill exited The Witcher months before the official announcement (allowing Netflix time to recast him). While a fourth season was announced (with Liam Hemsworth as Geralt), if season three bombs Netflix can easily walk away. Indeed, as I was predicting long before this news came out, I expect all related Witcher IP to bomb henceforth due to the terrible writing.

The end of the IP on Netflix is the best thing for the franchise. The first season did all it could do by exposing non-gamers to the series, but there's no positive impact left to come from it (there was no meaningful bump from either the animated show or season two). I don't think an end to The Witcher will impact how Netflix approaches IP, other than reinforcing that established actors are required for success, even if they don't guarantee it (ahem, Rings of Power).


I don't understand the unabashed enthusiasm for James Gunn being anointed as the co-runner of the new DCEU regime. As I've said before, I think the praise he receives for the first Guardians is overblown (the story beats come from the original writer), the second Guardians is a mess (still funny, but poorly paced with failed emotional beats), and The Suicide Squad completely bombed (the ultimate fail for a comedy: it was boring). I'm aware that Peacemaker has had some success on streaming, but the reception is muted compared to behemoths like Stranger Things. If Gunn had never been fired from Marvel I don't think he would have saved Phase Four (I hear the opposite hypothesis all the time), which makes me ask what is really changing at WB? That's not to say I don't understand the PR win, since Gunn is personally quite popular. His co-runner, Peter Safran, has unremarkable credits, so while I understand elation in escaping the past regime, the proof of their positive change will be in the pudding.


It has leaked that the MCU is planning for X-Men swaps (of race at least). if true this isn't a shock, given Phase Four, but it is interesting because scooper Mikey Sutton has said for years that we were going to get a faithful adaptation of the IP (cf). In his version, this iteration would heavily feature a (on-paper) male cast. So why make the changes when there are a ton of POC X-Men characters? Because by swapping Marvel doesn't have to pay original creators, and that financial incentive is a big part of why comic adaptations are so swap-happy. Personally, I wouldn't do swaps unless there's an impactful story reason to do so (I think tokenism is pernicious). With that said, I don't think whatever these swaps are (if they happen) will be why the MCU's iteration fails, as abysmal writing is the true root cause. For those who don't know, as a comic reader I was primarily an X-Men fan (cf and cf), so if I see the train wreck coming I won't be watching the film.

One other interesting tidbit that came out of this leak is that, for Disney, they 'count' Latinos as white when considering diversity in projects. This is not done to hurt Latino representation (Victoria Alonso, who is part of that community, is hardly going to work against it), but to reduce the number of white characters.


Speaking of adaptations, I'd be remiss if I didn't briefly discuss one of the major issues Rings of Power and any other adaptors of Tolkien have: the man himself. What I mean by that is showrunners and directors are rarely academics (and even less likely to be among the most esteemed in their field), unlikely to be war veterans (and even when they are, it's not of the kind of war Tolkien fought in or the subsequent one he lived through), unlikely to be religious (as Tolkien deeply was), unlikely to be familiar with the ancient historic material that inspired him, and finally none will be philologists. This puts any creator at a tremendous disadvantage tackling his material, being far more daunting than the much simpler material from most other fantasy authors. One of Tolkien's talents was in creating a narrative that could be enjoyed  by those who didn't share his particular set of beliefs. The story also contains challenging philosophical ideas (such as the nature of Evil; cf Tom Shippey's The Road to Middle-earth) that helps the work stick with you. Tackling material like this is far too much to ask of the hacks now writing modern entertainment, but even well-meaning auteurs from an earlier era (like Peter Jackson) struggled with it (and there's some irony in Jackson failing with the much simpler The Hobbit--it's no surprise that the trilogy with fewer changes was more successful).


Dovetailing back to Rings of Power: a rumour from Chris Gore (cf) claims the hapless showrunners will be replaced (perhaps remaining in the writer's room), an action an unnamed source says has to wait until after award season, which seems likely to me (if it happens). Beyond this, Nerdrotic is saying he's heard we're in for a complete reboot of the show. I find this latter claim highly unlikely, since there doesn't seem to be enough time to re-write the scripts, re-cast, and so forth. It's the only approach that could work, but I don't think Amazon would be willing to go that far. Regardless, I think it will be months before we find out just what's truly in store for Rings of Power.


I'm not surprised Black Adam bombed (321 million almost three weeks in). It was a DC character I'd never heard of with a star whose personal popularity isn't enough to create box office success arriving in the face of many DC failures (particularly Shazam, which bombed even harder). Broadly I don't think this matters--the project pre-dates the current regime at WB and its only purpose now is to bring Henry Cavill back as Superman (something that seems to have had no impact on its ticket sales). At 50, Dwayne Johnson is too old to be Black Adam for long. The film coming out is surreal, ala Channing Tatum's Gambit hitting theaters. I have no idea what Johnson was hoping to do back when he became interested in the role in 2007, but I know its not what's in theaters right now.


What's the forecast for Wakanda Forever? Limp marketing hasn't helped, but what are the numbers? Predictions over the last week have dropped 15%, lending some credence to the doubts from toy manufacturers I mentioned last time. You don't have to see the film to know it's going to be stuffed with Mary Sue's; a sympathetic (albeit baffling) antagonist in Namor (whose potentially interesting changes have been wasted--see the link above) and whose alterations lost Submariner fans; it's long (almost three hours); and lacks the lead actor. Phase Four's writing has been universally awful, so it's hard to expect something better from Joe Robert Cole. With that said, it ought to do better than Thor 4, but that's a low bar.


When Pitch Meeting is echoing what's being said by the Fellowship Youtube community, Marvel has reached a tipping point--even the normies are turned off by Phase Four's baffling approach. Good writing let's you get away with a lot of things people normally reject (by report, The House of the Dragon), but bad writing is a poison that kills franchises.


Unfortunately Netflix has renewed Sandman for another season. On the plus side, it took public begging from Neil Gaiman to make it happen, which means there is a bigger hill to climb for it to go beyond that (I can't see what meaningful changes could be made since Gaiman was already involved). This is one of the few big IP where no one I know has seen it or is talking about it (like Apple's Foundation), so I'm not sure what Netflix is hoping to achieve by bringing it back. I suppose the streaming service has to have some new content and one could argue it made a bigger splash than Rings of Power (cf).


In good news, the aforementioned Damon Lindelof Star Wars film is unlikely to ever appear. There are two theories about how the project leaked at all: Lindelof did it himself to diminish the impact of Alan Moore shitting all over his adaptation of Watchmen; or Kathleen Kennedy leaked it as petty rebellion against Disney CEO Bob Chapek telling her to stop announcing film projects that aren't assured production. Both theories are plausible, but not nearly as probable as the project never happening. At this stage I'd rather have Neil Breen make a Star Wars film.


Not long ago CDPR announced a remake of the original The Witcher video game that came out in 2007. Unlike with Naughty Dog and The Last of Us, this is not just a cash grab and from comments CDPR has made they aren't simply updating graphics (ala the Mass Effect remaster) and fixing the combat system. Since very few Witcher fans have ever played the game, a remake is a smart move and while the announcement is recent, I suspect the plan goes back months or years, receiving a sharp push forward when Cyberpunk 2077 initially failed to meet its targets. While Edgerunners has largely saved that IP, with the upcoming Witcher trilogy likely moving away from faithfulness (to meet representation quotas and so forth, meaning CDPR either ignores the lore and repopulates the north or shifts the starting geography, getting away from the setting that made the game popular), the remake is free to remain authentic within its proper Polish context. That means I don't think we'll get Eskel or Vesemir etc re-envisioned, and it's another chance for fans to be Geralt.

What this also means is that if the remake is successful, it will be very easy for CDPR to give Witcher 2 (2011) the same treatment within a couple of years, providing a steady diet of 'new' Geralt adventures and traditional content to go along with their new projects.


Watching the Twitter meltdown when Elon Musk took over has been highly entertaining. I don't share the messianic view that Musk is a genuine champion of free speech, but seeing a few Orwellian lunatics removed from their positions at the company was good for the soul. I know most people don't follow this kind of thing (wtf is BRICS, right?), but the incoherent meltdowns are great fun. I don't personally care if Twitter remains an important platform or not, but any pressure to make such platforms conform to the public square is welcome.


We all remember the Dave Chappelle controversy via the Netflix comedy special The Closer last year, and I was reminded of it when he was announced as hosting SNL recently (a show I think no one has watched since Bill Burr hosted it in 2020). At the time of The Closer a small group of Netflix employees threatened to quit and I was curious if any actually had. The answer is one, four months after the controversy--virtue signaling for the rest.

This article was written by Peter Levi

Tuesday, October 25, 2022

Comics, Fantasy, & Sci-Fi Film/TV News


It might seem cruel at this point to discuss the problems with Rings of Power, but Amazon's insufferable self-promotion and endless excuses eliminate any sense of pity. Despite the money and hype the show couldn't even beat Sandman's meagre social media impact which, while higher than the moribund She-Hulk (see below), is pathetic. RoP performed so poorly that even pro-corporate publications like Forbes have taken it to task. With the second season already filming there's no opportunity to change course, such that my prediction of superficial Witcher-like changes seems on-target (purely aesthetic; in many ways the shows are very similar, except one has Henry Cavill). In the aftermath the showrunners are pitching more action and more characters from the lore, but given how bad the action was in the current season and how horribly characters from the lore have been portrayed, that can't allay anyone's fears.

What does the show bombing mean? Publicly Amazon has denied it flopped, but the budget for season two has been slashed and we can assume internally Jeff Bezos wants someone's head to roll--many are hoping for Jennifer Salke (whose mess this is), but I think she's too well connected for that to happen. Changing showrunners is the only meaningful public change to make (which would be framed as wanting to spend more time with their family or pursue other interests), but that seems unlikely at this point. For now it seems like Bezos has chosen to eat the loss and push forward, presumably due to ego. [Right after I posted this, I saw rumours of a shadow showrunner being brought in.]

A bit of trivia: producer Lindsey Weber is married to Mike Weber, one of Wheel of Time's producers, perhaps explaining some of the similarities between the terrible fantasy shows (cheap costumes, awful writing, etc). We also know that the Finrod scenes were part of reshoots because Tom Budge was the original Finrod and these feature his replacement (Will Fletcher). Whether any of Fletcher's scenes were entirely new is less clear, but Budge did his career a favour by leaving.

Finally: I do know people who like the show (albeit not very many). These are broadly fantasy fans (which is to say, not book fans) who are unbothered by, for example, the terrible writing in The Witcher or The Wheel of Time. Their standard for genre fair seems to be: if it looks like fantasy, yay! Unfortunately for Amazon, such fans are few and far between and they are mostly outside the key demographic, instead appealing to older fans who, in small numbers, gravitate towards it (which mirrors the Phase Four audience for the MCU).


Speaking of Phase Four (whose nickname, Phase Bore, needs some work), Black Panther 2's box office is projected along the same path as the rest--a big opening followed by a sharp drop (estimated to earn half or less the original's gross). There's agitation from toy producers about losing a cash cow for boys with the absence of Black Panther (cf), as they don't believe the female leads answer that requirement or make up for it elsewhere (referencing the horrific sales of Phase Four merch other than Spider-Man).
Black Panther is ‘a very specific character’ whose ‘appeal is very ‘male’, even more than usual.’ This seems especially true with black men. Black men have the strongest relationship with the character, with an interesting, strong pop on the father/son dynamic. Black men identify with the Black King, strong male figure. Word association: noble strength. How the character holds himself. They admire that in the hero; inspiring to them. …seeing the movies was a great bonding [experience] for many black men and their sons. … Black men are even less likely to buy female-IP driven merch for either themselves or their sons.
Apparently Disney is pitching Storm as a way of ultimately solving that problem, but understandably the manufacturers don't agree (the binary of gendered toy sales, despite attempts to eliminate it, has not meaningfully changed).


She-Hulk is finally over (it's irrelevance with the public is dramatically illustrated by the Trends graph above, although critics continue to praise it unlike Rings of Power). There's not much left to say about the show, as the unfunny mess won't get a second season, allowing other writers to try and salvage the character in other projects (I doubt they can, but at least it's unlikely that Jessica Gao will be involved with her again--so many ex-Rick and Morty writers have shown themselves inept without Dan Harmon fixing their material). One of the funnier things about the show is that it's marketing was focused on guest stars rather than the titular hero, illustrating how little faith Disney had in the product. I also wonder how much it stings Feige and Victoria Alonso that the only Disney+ show getting a second season has a white male showrunner/writer (not that Michael Waldron has any talent) and a white male lead (Loki).

As for the show itself, other than further degrading Daredevil (what exactly he likes about She-Hulk is a mystery the show doesn't attempt to resolve--her desire for him seems to be all that matters--very Wonder Woman 84), I think the future for Matt Murdock will lean on his solo series (his role in Echo, which I expect to perform even more poorly than She-Hulk, won't matter). It's worth noting She-Hulk was written three years ago in a very different environment. Our present is in the midst of war, hyper inflation, an energy crisis, and political upheaval, such that a tale of She-Hulk's First World struggles of relationships and internet trolls doesn't cut it (the writers don't even understand bullying, which impacts the powerless, not invulnerable alcoholics). Whether this is the canary in the coal mine for Feige or not is difficult to say--if he learned nothing from The Eternals he's likely beyond the point of changing.


The Deadpool 3 announcement is a late, desperate decision echoing D23's sudden jettisoning of Phase Four for a Phase Five no one cares about either. Feige finally pulled the trigger on Hugh Jackman to reprise Wolverine, likely also caving into whatever demands Ryan Reynolds had that were preventing the film from hitting production. I don't think this guarantees Deadpool 3 will be good, as Deadpool 2 (which Reynolds controlled) was a poor sequel to Deadpool. Despite that, I think fans will show-up for Jackman, as the power of the memberberry is strong (that seems to be the one thing Feige took away from Far From Home--more memberberries!--albeit it did not work in Doctor Strange 2).


More broadly, MCU delays continue as the troubled Blade shifted over a year (Sept/23 to Nov/24), which is insane; Secret Wars moved back six months (Nov/25 to May/26), and Deadpool 3 (just announced) and Fantastic Four also moved a few months. Shuffling the schedule isn't new to Marvel, but has been particularly bad since Phase Four began (She-Hulk and Ms. Marvel are classic examples, as they swapped places then failed spectacularly). The changes represent the chaos going on internally. I think the reality of Phase Four's failure is dawning on them. The fly in the ointment for Marvel is that since Feige has had full control, the writing at Marvel has turned to utter shit, but I don't think there's awareness of that (Michael Waldron is still employed, after all).

My guess is that Mahershala Ali is trying to force Blade into being something other than a disaster--I think he's the reason why Stacey Amma Osei-Kuffour's moribund script was tossed (it wouldn't surprise me if he had it leaked). That said, replacing her with Beau DeMayo is not necessarily encouraging (Witcher and Moon Knight credits are worrying ahead of the animated X-Men '97, granting I was not a fan of the animated show it's borne from).


Speaking of DeMayo, the former Witcher writer happily threw his colleagues under the bus, proclaiming "Some of the writers were not or actively disliked the books and games (even actively mocking the source material). It’s a recipe for disaster and bad morale. Fandom as a litmus test checks egos, and makes all the long nights worth it. You have to respect the work before you’re allowed to add to its legacy." This is great to hear, but DeMayo's own episodes from the show is awful (especially "Kaer Morhen"), illustrating no respect for the source material, so we'll need him to put words into action before crediting him with sanity. That aside, Witcher has always been a disaster due to the writing (via the incompetent showrunner) and I firmly believe season three will be the end--Henry Cavill returning as Superman implies he's not putting aside time for the Netflix show.


It has been months since I wrote about Conan, but not that long for Red Sonja. Marketing for the latter has continued with on-set shots of the lead being released. Other than Matilda Lutz having red hair, there's nothing to be drawn from them (albeit for modern entertainment that in and of itself is a minor miracle). As for Conan, the news is confirmation that there is a showrunner for the Netflix project (why their identity is being kept under wraps, I have no idea, but presumably reflects a state of early pre-production). It's worth repeating that these two projects are completely unrelated due to the rights situation, so it's all but impossible for the two characters to meet on-screen.


I've heard Apple's adaptation of Isaac Asimov's Foundation series is a train wreck, but like most people I haven't seen it (no one is discussing it either). I read the original trilogy as a teenager and enjoyed it, but Apple hasn't made something people want to watch. Because of where it aired and its lack of impact, I don't think the result hurts the IP (unlike Amazon killing the Wheel of Time).


I haven't discussed Ezra Miller in awhile. The Flash star has pled not guilty to burglary charges and because Miller is both wealthy and has industry support (going to jail would jeopardize hundreds of millions of WB's money), I don't foresee jail time. I still think writing the actor out of the WB is in the cards, since who wants the headache, but until that happens the support will remain. Those rumours from the summer (cf) that Miller would not be returning as the Flash have popped up again--the substance is the same (insiders at WB say Miller is done), but presumably have reemerged due to the court proceedings.


I jumped off the Star Wars train a long time ago (Force Awakens was the final nail, with the prequels providing the rest), but it's interesting to see Andor suffering from the weight of prior failures. No one is watching the show, to the point that even the shills are discussing that reality. A prequel to a prequel for a franchise that hasn't done anything worth watching since 1983 did not appeal to anyone. I don't think this changes anything going forward, except lowering future budgets for whatever else is coming to Disney+. The just announced decision to bring in Damon Lindelof (!) illustrates LucasFilm still doesn't know what it's doing.



One of the reasons anime does so well is that it's not locked into the current Western political paradigm--writers are free to tell a good story. This is clearly seen in disasters like Cowboy Bebop, where American approaches were imposed. You can't make art or entertainment when your primary goal is pushing a message--that's just propaganda and people reject it even if they don't know why. We can see another example of this with The Woman King, which did the classic Hollywood thing of taking historical events and ignoring them for a message. In this case being caught proved disastrous, because Dahomey is a troubling African nation to depict positively. It's easy to imagine a Hollywood producer simply asking for African warrior women (perhaps inspired by the Dora Milaje from Black Panther) and not caring about specifics. Turns out both Africans and African-Americans were well-aware of that history and spoke out against it (including actors like Lupita Nyong'o), meaning the usual strategy of calling criticism racism/sexism couldn't work and the film bombed spectacularly (there's another related example of Latino's rejecting the invented 'Latinex' label). When will fans and creatives be freed from agenda-driven films? I have no idea.

This article was written by Peter Levi

A Theory on Modern Adaptations, Trouble at Disney, Beau DeMayo's Firing, MCU Update, Red Sonja Update, Neil Gaiman Update, and Ashley Johnson's Lawsuit

I heard a plausible theory about why some people don't care about continuity and lore in IPs (it's from Madam Savvy , 23:09-23:33). ...