Monday, November 20, 2023

MCU Fallout Continues; He-Man/She-Ra Sold; Hunger Games Flops; Netflix's Hannibal


After the release of Shang-Chi (the second Phase Four bomb after Black Widow), featuring the irritating Simu Liu, a sequel was expected via the talentless Cretton (cf) returning to write and direct (those with good memories will recall Cretton claimed Shang-Chi would be like The Matrix--not so much!). Since then there has been radio silence (just a vague promise it would appear after Avengers: The Kang Dynasty, now set to appear in 2026). Given the lack of appetite for the character, I never believed we'd get a sequel (just Shang-Chi shoehorned into a hero group, presumably The Avengers), and now we've learned that Cretton has been booted from the aforementioned Avengers film (probably due to the new SAG agreement), but in theory is still in charge of the hypothetical Shang-Chi sequel and Wonderman show that's likely never going to appear (passim; it's rumoured the actors from that show have been told to move on). Cretton, just like Nia DaCosta (The Marvels), Chloe Zhao (The Eternals), etc, were hired because of what he is, not who he is (ticking a representation box for ESG). With the strike agreement in place it's impossible to continue the MCU's approach of ghost directors handling action/FX-heavy scenes while leaving the talking to ESG picks. Marvel is now forced to have actual showrunners and directors and none of the aforementioned (nor D+ folks) have shown any ability to do that successfully with comicbook material.


In the same theme as Shang-Chi above, there was talk of an Eternals sequel when released, with comments from Feige that the characters would be appearing subsequently. However, not only has a sequel not been announced, none of the characters have reappeared and the expected attachment of Kamala Khan to the franchise was removed entirely. It's not that Eternals bombed much harder than Shang-Chi (402 vs 432), but the film was seen as so horrendous by the industry (even shills) that they gave up on it immediately (the leak prior to its release, something virtually unprecedented for the MCU, seems like a sign of how little faith they had in it).


Grace Randolph, the more successful female version of John Campea, is stating the obvious: the MCU (a brand built to sell toys to boys, but happened to appeal to girls as well) is struggling to switch that appeal to a larger female/diverse audience. None of the efforts have worked (I know people it does work for, but that number has shrank to just a few). The most amusing thing about The Marvels flop is that women did not show up (35% of the audience); it's less surprising that Caucasians skipped it (just 36%; Marvel constantly attacking that audience is paying dividends). The only thing the MCU's approach has achieved is to mildly appeal to older diverse men, but in numbers too small to support the franchise. This reality isn't something Disney or Marvel can accept (or its few remaining fans, in my experience) so we aren't going to see a change in approach until the brand completely implodes. Until then, most MCU fans have (just like graphic novel fans) migrated to Anime/Manga where there's no ESG in sight.


Speaking of the future, Andre has a theory that Loki season two (which no one is watching; not in the top-10 streaming shows and only 5th among originals) has opened the door to replacing the very troubled Jonathan Majors (Kang; his legal situation isn't as bad as Tenoch Huerta (Namor)--as the fired Victoria Alonso would remind us, you have to role the 'R' with Huerta, "Rrrrrrrape"). Tom Hiddleston has said he's done with Marvel (I wouldn't put much stock in that comment, but it is amusing to see someone as 'progressive' as Hiddleston get fed-up with the direction of his character--just like his buddy Thor, Chris Hemsworth). Loki would be an excellent Memberberry to include in the next Avengers film (repeating his appearance as their original villain). Marvel could get away with that since most of its audience has no idea what's been happening in Phase Four and Five. That would be the perfect recipe for a reboot, but it's difficult to imagine that happening or, if it did, it improving while an unfettered Kevin Feige is in charge (bringing back Robert Downey Jr.'s Iron Man is a desperate act and you have to wonder if they will John Krasinski-him in the process).


Netflix's She-Ra (2018-20) and He-Man (2021-22) have been sold off to Amazon. If it's difficult to parse this reality with the media narrative about how successful the shows were, that's tells you something about corporate media. The IP is meant to sell toys and when it doesn't and struggles with ratings that's not a success. Regardless, it's extremely unlikely Amazon will do anything useful with the IP (more Rings of Power volcanoes to the face), but it's a suitably botched ending for Netflix's hilarious fumbling of the franchise.


The pampered lunatic known as Rachal Zegler (the upcoming Snow White, passim) has seen her Hunger Games film open lower than megabomb The Marvels (44 vs 46). There's a context in that The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes cost less (80 million), so there's a chance it could avoid losing money. Whether treading water is enough for more films to be made is hard to say (probably), but you have to think Zegler won't be a part of that future. What's funny is this is exactly the fanbase that The Marvels was pursuing, but neither has worked (albeit I assume the female demographic of the audience is much higher).


You would have thought after the Cleopatra disaster a lesson might have been learned by Netflix about race swapping popular historical figures, but clearly that's not the case as Denzel Washington has been tapped to play Hannibal of Carthage (I'm sure someone's mother also dreamed about him being black). For those who don't know, the descendants of the Phoenicians are the Lebanese, an underrepresented minority group (just like Egyptians) who are not sub-Saharan Africans (and thus don't seem to 'count' as meaningful in America--along with North Africans, Turks, and so on). I don't know what audience they think they are targeting--Bridgerton? Washington is a fantastic actor, but he's far too old for the part (68; Hannibal was 29 at the start of the Second Punic War), not to mention it's a cultural insult to both the historical person and the culture he was part of (it's both cultural imperialism and appropriation, but we'll have to see if the Neo-Liberal left (ala The Mary Sue) oppose it here like they did with Cleopatra). What this choice tells me is Netflix is still receiving ESG money (or some equivalent), as none of this vapid virtue signaling actually appeals to the general audience. My guess is execs wanted the hero (Hannibal) to be played by a minority in order to fight the evil white (Roman) enemies.

This article was written by Peter Levi

Friday, November 10, 2023

MCU Troubles Continue, RT Exposed, Snow White Drama, and Abrams' Constantine Cancelled




Marvel/Disney's issues are piling up and the hilarious, on-target South Park "Panderverse" (ostensibly pointed at moribund Star Wars head Kathleen Kennedy) hits all things Disney--is there a project that doesn't fit the mocking narrative? One of the primary signs that this specific approach is disappearing is that the gigantic corporations funding it (BlackRock, Vanguard, etc) are actively withdrawing from ESG. This means ESG will cease financially dictating these decisions and, while it's likely to be replaced by something similar, it could mean a pause as the industry tries to recover from the damage following it has caused.


Vulture has exposed that RT reviews are rigged (cf). This isn't a surprise to those who follow this issue, but having it confirmed means the numbers can be ignored. IMDB has similar issues (owned/controlled as it is by Amazon), so ultimately we are left with box office, Nielsen ratings, toy sales, etc to measure success/impact.

This story paired nicely with the discovery (via Rolling Stone) that HBO created fake social media accounts to attack those who criticized their shows. This approach is less impactful than the RT manipulation, but illustrates just how petty entertainment giants are when it comes to criticism of their products.



Changes at Disney continue--not only did they sell off ESPN (to add liquidity given their money problems), but a number of D+ shows have been cancelled or released for their creators to try and find a home/financing:
  • Doogie Kamealoha (riffing off the 80s hit Doogie Howswer) after two seasons; no, I'd never heard of it either
  • The Spiderwick Chronicles (based on the popular children's books, 03-09) - filming of the show is complete (it's apparently a fairly straightforward adaptation) and its makers found a home on Roku; the IP already had a film made in 2008 (Nickelodoen, which bombed)
  • Nautilus (based on the Jules Verne novel 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea) - filming of the show was complete (made via the usual 're-imagined' modern adaptation), and it was picked up by AMC
This was accompanied by two rounds of MCU shuffling (second round), some of which is related to the ongoing strike in Hollywood:
  • Echo - the unwanted spinoff of Hawkeye has moved from November to January; filming is complete, so I can only assume this change was made to make room for What If? (which gets the better release slot because Echo is apparently a disaster and much of it had to be re-shot, with the episode count dropped from eight to five and debuting Netflix-style--all at once--which is not normal for D+)
  • X-Men 97 (animated) - shifted from fall 2023 to early 2024; filming is complete so this is either a change due to lack of confidence or it's meant to be a palate-cleanser after Echo
  • Agatha - the unwanted spinoff of WandaVision from winter 2023 to fall 2024; filming is complete and I suspect this is going to get the Echo-treatment of a Netflix-style one-day dump whenever it appears (no word about episode cuts as-yet, but it has been renamed three times)
  • Ironheart - has been pulled from the schedule entirely (THR says filming is complete, but it's impacted by the strike, which is hard to accept when a date swap could have covered that (as it has for other shows)--for those unaware, this is the Miles Moralesing of Iron Man (the same creator created both)
  • Daredevil - filming interrupted by the strike and it being completely retooled (see below)
  • Wonder Man - filming interrupted by the strike and it may be cancelled entirely (at the moment it's on an indefinite hiatus)
  • Other planned shows are also rumoured to be scrapped (link above), but none have been named (those announced: a Wakanda-based show; two animated Spider-Man shows; Marvel Zombies; a Nova series; Vision Quest; and a third season of What If?; I suspect the animated efforts are safe)
  • Deadpool 3 - from May/24 to July/24 (great slot to an okay one; the small shift is likely strike-related); this is the only film approved/made by Bob Chapek prior to being ousted
  • Captain America 4 - from July/24 to Feb/25 (okay slot to a bad one); filming was complete, but emergency reshoots are occurring now as apparently the original plot was calqued on January 6th
  • Thunderbolts - from Dec/24 to July/25 (bad slot to an okay one); yet to be filmed and thus could easily shelved or jettisoned in the future
  • Blade (again!) - from Feb/25 to Nov/25 (bad slot to an okay one); it's not clear if this film has a script yet (after discarding four already)
Marvel is scrapping the eight episodes they've filmed of the new Daredevil-series and completely retooling it. From reports, what was completed was a bland court drama with ESG casting, and while I expect the latter to remain unchanged, the belief is more action will be inserted (whether Daredevil will need a smarter, more talented female character to save him and defeat the villain remains to be seen, but that would be on-brand). What I don't think we'll get is the kind of frenetic, meaningful action from Daredevil season one on Netflix (and to a lesser degree in its other two seasons).


The Marvels is projected to bomb hard, with projections putting it behind Ant-Man 3 and it has opened on Thursday lower than Ezra Miller's Flash. This is a film with a ton of baggage, from Brie Larson fighting with fans (to the point of losing top billing, as this was originally Captain Marvel 2), to no one watching Ms. Marvel (whose video game also bombed), to Monica Rambeau having the least interesting origin of all time (walking through a force field?) and then absolving Wanda of torturing an entire town because she felt a little sad. Guardians 3's modest success has provided no lift for the film and no one knows (or cares) what's going on in Phase Five. As a reminder for context, here are the superhero film performances from this year (I've included the official budgets after the slash, but many of these are actually higher; broadly speaking a film needs to more than double its budget to turn a profit):
  • Guardians 3 (May) - 845/250; with inflation this is 251 million less than Guardians 2
  • Miles Morales 2 (June) - 690/90; with inflation this is 217 more than its first film
  • Ant-Man 3 (February) - 476/200; with inflation this is 290 million less than Ant-Man 2
  • The Flash (June) - 270/220
  • Shazam 2 (March) - 133/125; with inflation this is 308 million less than Shazam
  • Blue Beetle (August) - 129/104
The DC movies faired worse (as they always have as the DCEU), but the MCU films got killed other than Guardians. I'm lost on the appeal of Miles Morales, but in context that's a low end performance vs just four years ago (and dwarfed by Peter Parker's 1.9 billion), so it's only in comparison to the disasters around it that Sony can feel good (I see very little merch impact from that film). Back to The Marvels, whose reported budget is 275 million and has no hope to achieve Captain Marvel's box office. It will lose money, but the question is how much. It's widely rumoured that Brie Larson will step away from the MCU after this, which is a fittingly botched ending for the character (the modern, re-imagined Kelly Sue DeConnick iteration of Captain Marvel), lest we forget she was intended to be the new leader of The Avengers. What will the MCU do? If Nelson Peltz and Ike Perlmutter take over Disney's board (a realistic possibility that's currently in progress), I'd expect massive changes whose impact will be seen in theaters in 2-3 years. If not, I don't think Bob Iger will fundamentally change anything other than budgets and the MCU will ultimately implode (assuming it's not sold off).


We have to talk about Disney's attempted damage control with their live action Snow White (a film I'd have no interest in irrespective of circumstances). Star Rachel Zegler has inflamed fans with various silly comments (nothing unexpected--watch Rings of Powers interviews and its rinse and repeat; she has been quiet lately, so clearly she has been told to shut-up), which in part had the film's release date bumped (March, 2024, to March, 2025). This was explained as being due to the strikes, but we know that's not the only reason as the filmmakers have replaced their diverse group of Dwarves with a non-diverse group of creepy CGI Dwarves. In many ways this is exactly like so many other recent films, but as I said prior to all this happening, I don't think there's any appetite for this regardless (I'm still lost on who believes Gal Gadot would feel jealous of Zegler). Time will tell.


Speaking of race swaps, J. J. Abrams' planned (2021) Constantine series is dead. Sope Dirisu was apparently up for the role, but the series (along with another race-swapped property) could not find a home (on HBO or elsewhere). I wonder if Abrams' ability to get paid to do nothing has finally run out (he hasn't had a film in theaters since Star Wars in 2019 or a show since 2014-15). In terms of the IP, Keanu Reeves may come back to reprise the role, but at his age (59) it's difficult to see that being more than a one-off. We seem to be at the tipping point of maximum pandering, but given production schedules, it will take some time before any change will be seen in theaters or the small screen.

This article was written by Peter Levi

A Theory on Modern Adaptations, Trouble at Disney, Beau DeMayo's Firing, MCU Update, Red Sonja Update, Neil Gaiman Update, and Ashley Johnson's Lawsuit

I heard a plausible theory about why some people don't care about continuity and lore in IPs (it's from Madam Savvy , 23:09-23:33). ...